Budget Deficits Widen as Expected

posted by Nima

May 11, 2009 · Posted in Government 

The White House announced that the budget deficit is expected to top $1.8 trillion for 2009:

With the economy performing worse than hoped, revised White House figures point to deepening budget deficits, with the government borrowing almost 50 cents for every dollar it spends this year.

The deficit for the current budget year will rise by $89 billion to above $1.8 trillion — about four times the record set just last year. The unprecedented red ink flows from the deep recession, the Wall Street bailout, the cost of President Barack Obama’s economic stimulus bill, as well as a structural imbalance between what the government spends and what it takes in.

As the economy performs worse than expected, the deficit for the 2010 budget year beginning in October will worsen by $87 billion to $1.3 trillion, the White House says. The deterioration reflects lower tax revenues and higher costs for bank failures, unemployment benefits and food stamps.

I was close with my estimate for 2009, but I also pointed out that my numbers are still fairly optimistic. Please consider President Obama’s Budget for FY 2010 – A Continuation of the Bush Era:

The president’s budget estimates tax receipts of $2.2 trillion, $2.4 trillion, $2.7 trillion, and $3 trillion for 2009, 2010, 2011, and 2012, respectively. These estimates are laughable (…) Now that we have updated figures on coming expenses it’s time to update the deficit predictions:

* $1.65 trillion for 2009
* $1.6 trillion for 2010
* $1.95 trillion for 2011
* $2.2 trillion for 2012

I still think my numbers are assuming a very optimistic scenario and expect actual deficits to get even worse. And I repeat:

If President Obama keeps spending like this, and really wants to cut the deficit in half by 2013, he will at one point be faced with no other choice but to raise taxes on all Americans, rich, middle class, and poor. This is of course nothing new. Taxes have been rising almost consistently in the US for the past century.

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