Has Silver Bottomed?

posted by Nima

December 3, 2008 · Posted in General Economics 

This year the price of a silver ounce has fallen to less than 1/82 of a gold ounce. While gold pulled back by about 30% from $1,011 to around $704, siver has plummeted by 58% from $20.92 to $8.79.

With the money supply on the rise again, and the Federal Reserve policy obviously out of control, coupled with a very cheap ratio in terms of gold, it is certainly reasonable to start being bullish on silver again. Silver is, after gold, the best monetary metal. True, it derives a lot of its demand from industrial uses, but it has already taken its beating for it.

As far as my limited chart reading skills go, the SLV chart seems to reaffirm this belief:

Click on image to enlarge.

Has a floor formed? I do think so. Has the trendline been broken? Not quite yet, but it looks like we’re close to a trend reversal.

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