#ClimateChange Doomsday Cult Issues Another “Dire” Warning

Nima discusses the latest of many dire climate change reports.

Sources:

“U.S. impacts of climate change are intensifying, federal report says”(https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2018/11/23/climate-change-intensifying-economy-impacted-federal-report-finds/2093291002/)

The Technological Society by Jacques Ellul (https://archive.org/stream/JacquesEllulTheTechnologicalSociety/Jacques%20Ellul%20-%20The%20Technological%20Society_djvu.txt)

Club of Rome invents global warming hoax (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Club_of_Rome#The_Limits_to_Growth)

Peer reviewed science papers cited:

“These estimates both have much lower upper bounds than those from a predecessor study using AR5 data ending in 2011.” (https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0667.1)

“solar variability has been the dominant influence on Northern Hemisphere temperature trends since at least 1881.” (http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012825215300349)

“If the climate continues its cooling and the sun behaves in a manner not witnessed since 1800, we can be sure that climate changes are dominated by the sun and that atmospheric CO2 has a very small role in climate changes. If the same climatic patterns, cyclic warming and cooling, that occurred over the past 500 years continue, we can expect several decades of moderate to severe global cooling.” (http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/reprint/multidecadal_tendencies.pdf)

“the ice winter severity index in the Baltic Sea is modulated by solar activity and solar motion in several frequency bands during the last 500 years.” (http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364682612002167)

“These quantities were analyzed in two GCMs and compensating errors in the SW and LW clear-sky, cross-atmosphere radiative flux divergence were found to conspire to produce somewhat reasonable predictions of the net clear-sky divergence. Both GCMs underestimated the surface LW and SW CRF and predicted near-zero SW CRE when the measured values were substantially larger (~70 W m−2 maximum).” (http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00072.1?af=R)

“These findings, together with the missing orbital signature in published dendrochronological records, suggest that large-scale near-surface air-temperature reconstructions relying on tree-ring data may underestimate pre-instrumental temperatures including warmth during Medieval and Roman times.” (http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v2/n12/full/nclimate1589.html)

“(…) resulting in the conclusion that the early MCA was warmer than the late 20th century by ~ 1 °C.” (http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0031018212003926)

“the global temperature increase during the last century is between 0.4°C and 0.7°C, where these two values are the estimates derived from raw and adjusted data, respectively.” (http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/docinfo/1212/)

“Highest pre-industrial summer temperatures of the 12th century were 0.3 °C warmer than the 20th century.” (http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0277379112001680)

“the periods in which solar activity agents affecting the Earth are predominantly related to solar toroidal or poloidal fields are the periods in which the North Atlantic Oscillation is negatively or positively correlated with solar activity, respectively.” (http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364682612001393)

“25–56% of the temperature increase the last 150 years may be attributed to the Sun. For 3 North Atlantic stations we get 63–72% solar contribution.” (http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364682612000417)

Oregon Petition (http://www.petitionproject.org)

1,350+ peer reviewed research papers supporting the skeptic’s view: http://www.populartechnology.net/2009/10/peer-reviewed-papers-supporting.html#General

Another 100+: http://notrickszone.com/100-papers-sun-drives-climate/#sthash.7JBjco1q.uUrhUs2q.dpbs

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The Golbal Warming Catastrophe in Charts

This first chart is from The big picture: 65 million years of temperature swings. It clearly depicts the extent of the current global warming catastrophe within the context of the past 10,000 years:

global temperature over past 10,000 years
Click image to enlarge

Note the infamous “hockey stick” shape at the end of the chart which clearly shows the unprecedented extent of today’s post-little-ice-age warming.

But maybe 10,000 years are not enough to establish a pattern: The next chart is from Climate4You.com, using reconstructed global temperature over the past 420,000 years based on the Vostok ice core from the Antarctica:

Vostok Temperature Reconstruction for the Past 420,000 Years
Click image to enlarge

Half a million years not floating your boat? How about a reconstruction of temperature over 65 million years:

65_Myr_Climate_Change

All in all, I think we can safely conclude that global warming is unprecedented, impending, man-made, and catastrophic. The science is settled, and if you have the slightest shred of a doubt you are an annoying, ignorant, bigoted, Republican, anti-scientific big business oil/coal/whatever lobbyist who clubs baby seals and eats their hearts for breakfast!

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Global Warming Fear Mongering Continues

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Global Warming – “The greatest and most successful pseudoscientific fraud I have seen in my long life”

I have written before about the global warming propaganda machine:

The Global Warming Religion

The Global Warming Hoax Exposed

Now Hal Lewis’s damning letter of resignation from the American Physical Society as been published. It will without a doubt be remembered as an important moment in science history:

From: Hal Lewis, University of California, Santa Barbara

To: Curtis G. Callan, Jr., Princeton University, President of the American Physical Society

6 October 2010

Dear Curt:

When I first joined the American Physical Society sixty-seven years ago it was much smaller, much gentler, and as yet uncorrupted by the money flood (a threat against which Dwight Eisenhower warned a half-century ago). Indeed, the choice of physics as a profession was then a guarantor of a life of poverty and abstinence—it was World War II that changed all that. The prospect of worldly gain drove few physicists. As recently as thirty-five years ago, when I chaired the first APS study of a contentious social/scientific issue, The Reactor Safety Study, though there were zealots aplenty on the outside there was no hint of inordinate pressure on us as physicists. We were therefore able to produce what I believe was and is an honest appraisal of the situation at that time. We were further enabled by the presence of an oversight committee consisting of Pief Panofsky, Vicki Weisskopf, and Hans Bethe, all towering physicists beyond reproach. I was proud of what we did in a charged atmosphere. In the end the oversight committee, in its report to the APS President, noted the complete independence in which we did the job, and predicted that the report would be attacked from both sides. What greater tribute could there be?

How different it is now. The giants no longer walk the earth, and the money flood has become the raison d’être of much physics research, the vital sustenance of much more, and it provides the support for untold numbers of professional jobs. For reasons that will soon become clear my former pride at being an APS Fellow all these years has been turned into shame, and I am forced, with no pleasure at all, to offer you my resignation from the Society.

It is of course, the global warming scam, with the (literally) trillions of dollars driving it, that has corrupted so many scientists, and has carried APS before it like a rogue wave. It is the greatest and most successful pseudoscientific fraud I have seen in my long life as a physicist. Anyone who has the faintest doubt that this is so should force himself to read the ClimateGate documents, which lay it bare. (Montford’s book organizes the facts very well.) I don’t believe that any real physicist, nay scientist, can read that stuff without revulsion. I would almost make that revulsion a definition of the word scientist.

So what has the APS, as an organization, done in the face of this challenge? It has accepted the corruption as the norm, and gone along with it. For example:

1. About a year ago a few of us sent an e-mail on the subject to a fraction of the membership. APS ignored the issues, but the then President immediately launched a hostile investigation of where we got the e-mail addresses. In its better days, APS used to encourage discussion of important issues, and indeed the Constitution cites that as its principal purpose. No more. Everything that has been done in the last year has been designed to silence debate

2. The appallingly tendentious APS statement on Climate Change was apparently written in a hurry by a few people over lunch, and is certainly not representative of the talents of APS members as I have long known them. So a few of us petitioned the Council to reconsider it. One of the outstanding marks of (in)distinction in the Statement was the poison word incontrovertible, which describes few items in physics, certainly not this one. In response APS appointed a secret committee that never met, never troubled to speak to any skeptics, yet endorsed the Statement in its entirety. (They did admit that the tone was a bit strong, but amazingly kept the poison word incontrovertible to describe the evidence, a position supported by no one.) In the end, the Council kept the original statement, word for word, but approved a far longer “explanatory” screed, admitting that there were uncertainties, but brushing them aside to give blanket approval to the original. The original Statement, which still stands as the APS position, also contains what I consider pompous and asinine advice to all world governments, as if the APS were master of the universe. It is not, and I am embarrassed that our leaders seem to think it is. This is not fun and games, these are serious matters involving vast fractions of our national substance, and the reputation of the Society as a scientific society is at stake.

3. In the interim the ClimateGate scandal broke into the news, and the machinations of the principal alarmists were revealed to the world. It was a fraud on a scale I have never seen, and I lack the words to describe its enormity. Effect on the APS position: none. None at all. This is not science; other forces are at work.

4. So a few of us tried to bring science into the act (that is, after all, the alleged and historic purpose of APS), and collected the necessary 200+ signatures to bring to the Council a proposal for a Topical Group on Climate Science, thinking that open discussion of the scientific issues, in the best tradition of physics, would be beneficial to all, and also a contribution to the nation. I might note that it was not easy to collect the signatures, since you denied us the use of the APS membership list. We conformed in every way with the requirements of the APS Constitution, and described in great detail what we had in mind—simply to bring the subject into the open.

5. To our amazement, Constitution be damned, you declined to accept our petition, but instead used your own control of the mailing list to run a poll on the members’ interest in a TG on Climate and the Environment. You did ask the members if they would sign a petition to form a TG on your yet-to-be-defined subject, but provided no petition, and got lots of affirmative responses. (If you had asked about sex you would have gotten more expressions of interest.) There was of course no such petition or proposal, and you have now dropped the Environment part, so the whole matter is moot. (Any lawyer will tell you that you cannot collect signatures on a vague petition, and then fill in whatever you like.) The entire purpose of this exercise was to avoid your constitutional responsibility to take our petition to the Council.

6. As of now you have formed still another secret and stacked committee to organize your own TG, simply ignoring our lawful petition.

APS management has gamed the problem from the beginning, to suppress serious conversation about the merits of the climate change claims. Do you wonder that I have lost confidence in the organization?

I do feel the need to add one note, and this is conjecture, since it is always risky to discuss other people’s motives. This scheming at APS HQ is so bizarre that there cannot be a simple explanation for it. Some have held that the physicists of today are not as smart as they used to be, but I don’t think that is an issue. I think it is the money, exactly what Eisenhower warned about a half-century ago. There are indeed trillions of dollars involved, to say nothing of the fame and glory (and frequent trips to exotic islands) that go with being a member of the club. Your own Physics Department (of which you are chairman) would lose millions a year if the global warming bubble burst. When Penn State absolved Mike Mann of wrongdoing, and the University of East Anglia did the same for Phil Jones, they cannot have been unaware of the financial penalty for doing otherwise. As the old saying goes, you don’t have to be a weatherman to know which way the wind is blowing. Since I am no philosopher, I’m not going to explore at just which point enlightened self-interest crosses the line into corruption, but a careful reading of the ClimateGate releases makes it clear that this is not an academic question.

I want no part of it, so please accept my resignation. APS no longer represents me, but I hope we are still friends.

Hal

Harold Lewis is Emeritus Professor of Physics, University of California, Santa Barbara, former Chairman; Former member Defense Science Board, chmn of Technology panel; Chairman DSB study on Nuclear Winter; Former member Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards; Former member, President’s Nuclear Safety Oversight Committee; Chairman APS study on Nuclear Reactor Safety Chairman Risk Assessment Review Group; Co-founder and former Chairman of JASON; Former member USAF Scientific Advisory Board; Served in US Navy in WW II; books: Technological Risk (about, surprise, technological risk) and Why Flip a Coin (about decision making)

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Global Warming Hoax Exposed

The widespread paranoia about global warming and its obvious benefits to certain special interest groups have always been suspicious signs of a giant world wide hoax, very much of the likes of the Y2K scare and the current swine flu panic.

Now, some very incriminating emails circulating within the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) of the University of East Angila have been discovered. First off, what is the CRU? Wikipedia says:

The Climatic Research Unit is a component of the University of East Anglia U.K. and is one of the leading institutions concerned with the study of natural and anthropogenic climate change.

It has around thirty research scientists and students and has developed a number of the data sets widely used in climate research, including the global temperature record used to monitor the state of the climate system, as well as statistical software packages and climate models.

Here are some of the emails that have leaked (I downloaded them all here but found these on Mish’s blog):

Here Are A Few Choice Emails

From: Phil Jones
To: ray bradley ,[email protected], [email protected]
Subject: Diagram for WMO Statement
Date: Tue, 16 Nov 1999 13:31:15 +0000
Cc: [email protected],[email protected]

Dear Ray, Mike and Malcolm,
Once Tim’s got a diagram here we’ll send that either later today or first thing tomorrow. I’ve just completed Mike’s Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) amd from 1961 for Keith’s to hide the decline. Mike’s series got the annual land and marine values while the other two got April-Sept for NH land N of 20N. The latter two are real for 1999, while the estimate for 1999 for NH combined is +0.44C wrt 61-90. The Global estimate for 1999 with data through Oct is +0.35C cf. 0.57 for 1998. Thanks for the comments, Ray.

Cheers
Phil

Prof. Phil Jones
Climatic Research Unit Telephone +44 (0) 1603 592090
School of Environmental Sciences Fax +44 (0) 1603 507784
University of East Anglia
Norwich Email [email protected]
NR4 7TJ
UK

===================================

From: Gary Funkhouser
To: [email protected]
Subject: kyrgyzstan and siberian data
Date: Thu, 19 Sep 1996 15:37:09 -0700

Keith,

Thanks for your consideration. Once I get a draft of the central and southern siberian data and talk to Stepan and Eugene I’ll send it to you.

I really wish I could be more positive about the Kyrgyzstan material, but I swear I pulled every trick out of my sleeve trying to milk something out of that. It was pretty funny though – I told Malcolm what you said about my possibly being too Graybill-like in evaluating the response functions – he laughed and said that’s what he thought at first also. The data’s tempting but there’s too much variation even within stands. I don’t think it’d be productive to try and juggle the chronology statistics any more than I already have – they just are what they are (that does sound Graybillian). I think I’ll have to look for an option where I can let this little story go as it is.

Not having seen the sites I can only speculate, but I’d be optimistic if someone could get back there and spend more time collecting samples, particularly at the upper elevations.

Yeah, I doubt I’ll be over your way anytime soon. Too bad, I’d like to get together with you and Ed for a beer or two. Probably someday though.

Cheers, Gary
Gary Funkhouser
Lab. of Tree-Ring Research
The University of Arizona
Tucson, Arizona 85721 USA
phone: (520) 621-2946
fax: (520) 621-8229
e-mail: [email protected]
================================================

My take on the global warming debate is this: Any of the theories advanced may or may not be accurate. Everybody is entitled to his opinions on this. Whether it is man-made or not has absolutely no bearing on the general steps that have to be taken toward reducing our waste of resources, reducing emissions, and improving the way we treat our resources.

After all, the biggest polluters in the country are the federal and state governments and their hired contractors! I am all for shutting down every single one of their polluting activities. I am all for unlimited responsibility by corporations, governments, and individuals alike, when their actions harm someone else’s life, health, or property. But unfortunately it has been deliberate government policy that has again and again granted sovereign immunity and corporate privileges, infringing upon the independence of civil and criminal courts who would have been the proper mediums to deal with the environmental issues in question.

What is so dangerous about the global warming debate is that a lot of the arguments advanced ultimately seem to be leading people to think that we need that same federal government to get involved and attempt to regulate activities that impact our environment even more.

Nothing could be farther from the truth. You simply can’t expect the fox to guard the hen house. Cap and Trade – Lobbyism Gone Wild With Your Tax Dollars will be just one of the inevitable result of all such policies. I hope that a healthy dose of scepticism can put all these nonsensical programs to rest and let us return to discussing real change and real solutions as opposed to more of the same.

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